Applying machine learning to criminology: semi-parametric spatial-demographic Bayesian regression

Security Informatics

Table 3 DV-related assaults inference—summary statistics for regression parameters for DV-related assaults between 2009 and 2013

Parameter	Posterior mean	Posterior SD	95% Credible Interval
Percentage of separated males	1.40	0.10	[1.20, 1.59]
Population density	0.96	0.13	[0.68, 1.20]
Percentage of unemployment	0.70	0.14	[0.42, 0.98]
Percentage of English speaking only	0.65	0.14	[0.37, 0.94]
Percentage of people Cert 1 or 2	0.53	0.11	[0.32, 0.75]
Number of families with lone parent	0.23	0.14	[− 0.04, 0.53]
Median total household income	− 0.09	0.18	[− 0.45, 0.28]
Percentage of immigrants	− 0.19	0.15	[− 0.45, 0.14]
Percentage of people with no religion	− 0.49	0.09	[− 0.68, − 0.31]
Median mortgage monthly repay	− 0.66	0.28	[− 1.22, − 0.10]
Median rent	− 0.91	0.24	[− 1.40, − 0.43]
Median age	− 1.05	0.13	[− 1.29, − 0.77]

The table shows the regression coefficient’s posterior mean, SD and 95% credible intervals. Rows are sorted based on descending posterior mean